Preakness 2015 Picks

HRS Preakness CoverageTomorrow is the 140th running of the Preakness Stakes.  All eyes of the horse racing world will be on Pimlico Racetrack, seeing if American Pharoah will be able to get the second jewel of the Triple Crown and move on to the Belmont Stakes with a chance at history.  Honestly, I don’t see it happening.  I think it is a strong possibility and American Pharoah is a top contender to win, but I believe that the Kentucky Derby took too much out of him for him to make a stretch run.  If he is in the lead entering the stretch, then he will be fine; but if he is behind, not going to happen.  So, without further ado, here are my picks:

Top Three Contenders:

My top contender in this race is a horse I loved in the Kentucky Derby, Firing Line.  I think that of the Triple Crown races, this is the one he was made for.  The distance is ideal, the pace will help, and his post helps a lot.  I think he can run away from this field.  Dortmund is a very good horse and can sustain a second.  American Pharoah should hit the board as well.  Our top three finishers in the Derby are my top three finishers in the Preakness.

Projected Order of Finish:

  1. Firing Line
  2. Dortmund
  3. American Pharoah
  4. Divining Rod
  5. Bodhisattva
  6. Danzig Moon
  7. Mr. Z
  8. Tale of Verve

The Bets: (Numbers Refer to Official Program Numbers)

  • WPS: 8- Firing Line
  • Exacta Box: 1,2,8
  • Trifecta: 1,2,8 with 1,2,8 with ALL
  • Superfecta: 1,2,8 with 1,2,8 with 1,2,7,8 with 1,2,4,6,7

As for the Black Eyed Susan, I think Luminance is a very good favorite and my pick to win, but I don’t like the odds (as good as she is, she is no where near a 9/5 favorite).  I like some value underneath with Ahh Chocolate, a filly that will be running late.  Although she is making a big step up in class, from allowance to Grade 2, this is a very weak field and I like her late kick.

If you have an opinions on the races this weekend, feel free to comment below or Tweet at me on Twitter.  Best of luck this weekend, enjoy the races, and may the best of successes come to you!

 

 

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Preakness Stakes 2015 Race Analysis

HRS Preakness CoverageBefore the Post Position draw, most would go with American Pharoah without a doubt.  However, drawing the one post slightly hampers his chances, and having Dortmund right next to him hurts even more.  The draw didn’t favor American Pharoah, but did favor another Kentucky Derby runner, Firing Line, who drew the outside.  A speedy horse, Firing Line now has an easy trip to go near the front or sit back.  Love the post.  Dortmund does have to contend with American Pharoah right off the bat.  Danzig Moon will be able to give the rest of the field some space next to Dortmund, as he should drop back to around midpack early.  A horse that could cause some chaos in this race is Federico Tesio winner Bodhisattva.  Bodhisattva is a front runner who fights for the lead.  If Dortmund goes up to duel, which he likes to do, could cause a pace situation that would help late runners like Danzig Moon.  Firing Line should sit right off the pace with American Pharoah while Divining Rod will stay right behind them and Tale of Verve will travel even farther back.  Mr. Z will probably be trailing the field.

Tomorrow, I will have my Preakness and Black-Eyed Susan picks.  And, as usual, here is my Preakness Stat Sheet.  If you have an opinion on the race, feel free to comment below.  Follow Horse Racing Station on Twitter for more Preakness coverage.

Preakness 2015 Stat Sheet

 

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Preakness Stakes Post Position Draw

HRS Preakness CoverageEarly today, the field for the 140th Preakness Stakes was draw.  Here is how they will line up for the Second Jewel of the Triple Crown:

  1. American Pharoah 4-5 (Victor Espinoza, Bob Baffert)
  2. Dortmund 7-2 (Martin Garcia, Bob Baffert)
  3. Mr. Z 20-1 (Corey Nakatani, D. Wayne Lukas)
  4. Danzig Moon 15-1 (Julien Leparoux, Mark Casse)
  5. Tale of Verve 30-1 (Joel Rosario, Dallas Stewart)
  6. Bodhisattva 20-1 (Trevor McCarthy, Jose Corrales)
  7. Divining Rod 12-1 (Javier Castellano, Arnaud Delacour)
  8. Firing Line 4-1 (Gary Stevens, Simon Callaghan)

Analysis as well as stat sheet will be out tomorrow.  Picks will be out Friday.

 

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Monmouth Park 2015 Opening Day Full Card Selections

It has come time for racing to return to the Jersey Shore! Monmouth Park (my home track) opens up this Saturday, and I have full card selections for you. (Updated for Scratches – 5/9/15 12:15pm)

  • Race 1
    • 5- Lucky Balladier
    • 4- Greed is Good
    • 1A- Mello Groove
    • 2- Play It Again
  • Race 2
    • 5- Cherokee’smoonbeam
    • 6- Van Fraassen
    • 7- Monroe Court
    • 8- Alke John
  • Race 3
    • 1- Fiesta Rose
    • 7- My Little Darlings
    • 3- The Slipper Fits
    • 5- Techno Girl
  • Race 4
    • 4- Don’tflashyourcash
    • 7- Prince Pomeroy
    • 2- Indian Fighter
    • 10 – Splitter
  • Race 5
    • 4- Box Office
    • 5- Mack Miller
    • 3- This Boy’s Sharp
    • 1- Nauset Beach
  • Race 6
    • 2- Rare
    • 7- Comic Bird
    • 1-Charlesbrecknridge
    • 10- Class and Cash
  • Race 7
    • 7- Oak Bluffs
    • 14- Unruly Heir
    • 11- Little Hitman
    • 1- What the Chub
  • Race 8
    • 5- Taperrific
    • 9- Broadway Zen
    • 1- Stableford
    • 10- Pirradazis
  • Race 9
    • 7- Shipwreck Cove
    • 3- Misszippityslewda
    • 8- Solitary
    • 1- Yes Im Sweet
  • Race 10
    • 11- Discreet Duke
    • 2- Wild Billum
    • 8- Dubai Time
    • 9- Azure Dragon
  • Race 11
    • 4- Favorite Tale (Best Bet of the Day)
    • 7- Yes I’m Lucky
    • 6- Saucy Don
    • 10- A.P. Indian
  • Race 12
    • 4- Stevie’s Moonshot
    • 10- Powerline
    • 9- Kid Gavilan
    • 8-Strike Em Down

Good Luck tomorrow and enjoy the racing from Monmouth Park!

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Kentucky Derby 2015 Post Race Analysis

HRS Kentucky Derby

Closers.  Big Prices.  4 digit Trifectas and 5 digit Superfectas.  That is what the Kentucky Derby is usually known for… just not this year.  For a mile and a quarter, it was a three horse race.  Once the run for the lead finished about half way down the stretch before entering the first turn, no other horse was able to break into the top three.  Even as Dortmund tired at the end, the late closing Frosted who moved on the pace of American Pharoah couldn’t crack the board.  It was a very formful race, just not a formful Derby.  This Kentucky Derby was full of many firsts, some that wouldn’t be expected from the Run for the Roses.

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Kentucky Derby Day 2015 Undercard Selections

There is more to Derby Day besides the Kentucky Derby.  A great slate of stakes races precede the Run for the Roses.  Here are my picks for the six stakes races before the headliner.

Pat Day Mile (Race 5)

  • 6- Competitive Edge
  • 4- Hillbilly Royalty
  • 3- The Truth Or Else

American Turf (Race 6)

  • 1- Luck of the Kitten
  • 3- Granny’s Kitten
  • 8- Conquest Typhoon

Humana Distaff (Race 7)

  • 8- Judy the Beauty
  • 3- Dame Dorothy
  • 4- Clearly Confused

Churchill Distaff Turf Mile (Race 8)

  • 5- Coffee Clique
  • 10- Maid On a Mission
  • 3- Tepin

Churchill Downs Stakes (Race 9)

  • 2- Bayern
  • 3- Brewing
  • 6- Gentlemen’s Bet

Woodford Reserve Turf Classic (Race 10)

  • 8- Stephanie’s Kitten
  • 10- Chocolate Ride
  • 12- Grand Arch
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Kentucky Derby 2015 Picks

HRS Kentucky Derby

 

 

Tomorrow is the Run for the Roses, Kentucky Derby 141.  For the past few months, we have watched the preps, seen the contenders, and been working on who is the best of this 3-year old crop.  Although I think this years Derby is missing some of the best 3-year olds, it is still a very difficult race to handicap.  Just about half the field has a good shot at winning, or at least hitting the board.  Another third of the field has a chance to hit the board.  There are a lot of horses that you can get at a great price, and there are others that are a must use.

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