Bayern will be heavily bet, allowing for big prices on live horses. Unlike Monmouth, Saratoga doesn’t have as much of a speed advantage. Bayern shouldn’t make the distance nor even finish in the money. Mr. Speaker is a live play that should be gotten at a good price, however the horse to beat, Wicked Strong. V.E. Day is also a live longshot.
Last year, Game On Dude dominated this race, but he isn’t the same horse. Our pick will go elsewhere, to the horse that has been very good this year, Toast of New York. This horse has 3 wins and a 2nd from four runs on synthetic, capped by a big win in the UAE Derby. With a step up in jockey to Victor Espinoza, this shipper will relish the surface and the distance and cruise away. Shared Belief and Majestic Harbor are our underneath plays.