Los Alamitos 8/24 Selections

Selections:

  • Race 1: 1 – Poppy Peak
  • Race 2: 7 – Im Brendas Chick
  • Race 3: 1 – Truco Latino
  • Race 4: 6 – Hrh Walkonfire
  • Race 5: 1 – Amounted
  • Race 6: 4 – Chicka Corona
  • Race 7: 2 – Dont Pass Me
  • Race 8: 1 – Truly Censored
  • Race 9: 10 – Moonist
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Travers and Pacific Classic Picks

Travers:

Bayern will be heavily bet, allowing for big prices on live horses. Unlike Monmouth, Saratoga doesn’t have as much of a speed advantage. Bayern shouldn’t make the distance nor even finish in the money. Mr. Speaker is a live play that should be gotten at a good price, however the horse to beat, Wicked Strong. V.E. Day is also a live longshot.

 

Pacific Classic:

Last year, Game On Dude dominated this race, but he isn’t the same horse. Our pick will go elsewhere, to the horse that has been very good this year, Toast of New York. This horse has 3 wins and a 2nd from four runs on synthetic, capped by a big win in the UAE Derby. With a step up in jockey to Victor Espinoza, this shipper will relish the surface and the distance and cruise away. Shared Belief and Majestic Harbor are our underneath plays.

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Travers 2014 Post Draw and Odds

Yesterday was the Post Position draw for this years Travers Stakes at Saratoga.  Here are the Posts, Jockey, Trainer, and M/L Odds of this years contenders.

  1. Commanding Curve (S. Bridgmohan, D. Stewart) – 15/1
  2. Bayern (M. Garcia, B. Baffert) – 2/1
  3. Charge Now (J. Alvarado, W. Mott) – 15/1
  4. V.E. Day (J. Castellano, J. Jerkens) – 15/1
  5. Viva Majorca (J. Leparoux, I. Wilkes) – 20/1
  6. Tonalist (J. Rosario, C. Clement) – 3/1
  7. Wicked Strong (R. Maragh, J. Jerkens) – 7/2
  8. Kid Cruz (I. Ortiz, L. Rice) – 30/1
  9. Ulanbator (B. Hernandez, I. Wilkes) – 30/1
  10. Mr. Speaker (J. Lezcano, C. McGaughey) – 10/1

Our picks and analysis will be available by Saturday morning.

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Super Friday 7/18: Picks From 5 Tracks

Today is Saratoga Opening Day, the start of summer on the East Coast.  Now, not only will Saratoga be running, but all the summer tracks will be running, including Del Mar, Monmouth, and Arlington.  So in honor of the first Friday of our summer, I have picks for 5 tracks across the nation! Enjoy!!

  • Arlington Park (First Post: 4:00pm Est)
    • Race 1: 1 – 5 – 3
    • Race 2: 1 – 7 – 6
    • Race 3: 2 – 1A – 5
    • Race 4: 5 – 7 – 3
    • Race 5: 7* – 8 – 1
    • Race 6: 8 – 6 – 3
    • Race 7: 5 – 8 – 3
    • Race 8: 1 -2 – 6
    • Race 9: 6 – 1 – 10
  • Del Mar (First Post: 7:00pm Est)
    • Race 1: 2 – 4 – 3
    • Race 2: 6 – 3 – 4
    • Race 3: 4 – 7 – 2
    • Race 4: 4 – 9 – 5
    • Race 5: 4 – 1 – 3
    • Race 6: 4* – 8 – 1
    • Race 7: 7 – 4 – 3
    • Race 8: 4 – 8 – 10
  • Evangeline Downs (First Post: 6:45pm Est)
    • Race 1: 3 – 5 – 4
    • Race 2: 1 – 8 – 2
    • Race 3: 12 – 2 – 6
    • Race 4: 4 – 5 – 6
    • Race 5: 14 – 13 – 3
    • Race 6: 10* – 6 – 8
    • Race 7: 8 – 7 – 11
    • Race 8: 6 – 1 – 4
    • Race 9: 1 – 10 – 3
    • Race 10: 6 – 1 – 2
  • Los Alamitos Quarter Horse (First Post: 10:20pm Est)
    • Race 1: 5 – 1 – 2
    • Race 2: 4 – 9 – 2
    • Race 3: 5 – 3 – 2
    • Race 4: 8 – 5 – 3
    • Race 5: 3 – 5 – 6
    • Race 6: 4 – 6 – 2
    • Race 7: 3 – 5 – 1
    • Race 8: 1 – 4 – 8
    • Race 9: 2* – 4 – 6
  • Monmouth Park (First Post: 12:50pm Est)
    • Race 1: 7 – 2 – 6
    • Race 2: 1 – 6 – 2
    • Race 3: 4 – 6 – 2
    • Race 4: 7 – 6 – 1
    • Race 5: 6 – 5 – 7
    • Race 6: 5 – 3 – 6
    • Race 7: 5 – 8 – 7
    • Race 8: 6* – 8 – 10
    • Race 9: 6 – 2 – 7
    • Race 10: 7 – 3 – 12
  • Saratoga (First Post: 1:00pm Est)
    • Race 1: 4 – 5 – 1
    • Race 2: 2* – 9 – 6
    • Race 3: 4 – 3 – 2
    • Race 4: 4 – 3 – 7
    • Race 5: 13 – 10 – 1
    • Race 6: 2 – 4 – 6
    • Race 7: 8 – 1 – 11
    • Race 8: 3 – 1 – 10
    • Race 9: 1 – 2 – 3
    • Race 10: 11 – 12 – 9

*Best Bet of the Card

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Del Mar Opening Day

To help you win big on Del Mar Opening Day, here is an Early Pick 5 ticket and a Late Pick 4 ticket.  Good Luck!

Pick 5 (Races 1-5): 8-10 with 2-3-12 with 1-4-5 with 4-5-8 with 4-8-9

Pick 4 (Races 7-10): 2-3-8-10 with 3-4-6-7 with 4-5 with 5-11-13

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Summer Stakes Preview

Some notes on this summers hottest stakes.

Haskell:
-Untapable v ‘The Boys’
-How will Wildcat Red do outside of Gulfstream Park? (8: 5-3-0 at Gulf; 18th in Derby)
-Bayern, better as a sprinter?
Return of Medal Count
-Dark Horse Pick: Albano (had him in top 5 Derby Contendera after Risen Star, made big return in Pegasus)
Jim Dandy:
-Kid Cruz v Tonalist v Wicked Strong
-Kid Cruz one of the most underrated 3 year olds; 2 straight Belmont wins shows he can compete outside of MD listed
-Could be deciding race to who can challenge California Chrome for 3yo of the year
Sussex Stakes (Goodwood – GB):
-Verrazano returns to 1 mile
-Night of Thunder (2,000 Guineas Winner) v rival Kingman (1-2 in 2,000 Guineas, then other way around in St. James Palace Stakes)
-Will basically be prep for the Juddmonte Invitational in August, which will feature mainly the same field
Whitney Handicap:
-Palace Malice returns
-Mucho Macho Man and Will Take Charge also heading there
-Departing is the dark horse in the race
Fourstardave:
-Wise Dan returns
Personal Ensign:
-Princess of Sylmar v Close Hatches
-Was Delaware Handicap loss a fluke or was it the real Princess
Pacific Classic:
-Game On Dude returns
-Shared Belief taking the challenge
-Majestic Harbor (Santa Anita Gold Cup Winner) also going for Classic
Funny Cide:
-Bustin It, probably the most impressive 2yo right now, heading here
-Won Rockville Centre by 7 lengths
Woodward Stakes:
-Biggest Mile Race before Breeders Cup
-Palace Malice v Wise Dan v Mucho Macho Man

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Pedigree Nation: Tiz an Important Sire

Some of the most important sires of the past few decades have been from A.P. Indy, Storm Cat, Thunder Gulch, Danzig, and in more reason years, Giant’s Causeway, Distorted Humor, and Kitten’s Joy.  While these sires all are great in their own right, each traces their sire line back to one major line, that of Darley Arabian, one of the three foundation sires.  A.P. Indy, Storm Cat, Danzig, Giant’s Causeway, and Kitten’s Joy trace back through Nearco, while Thunder Gulch and Distorted Humor go through Mr. Prospector  Going back even farther, those two lines (Mr. Prospector and Nearco), trace back to one horse, British racehorse Phalaris.  There, our story begins.  Phalaris, a stallion from Polymelus out of Bromus became one of the most important sires in history.  Sire of five European Classic Race winners, his descendents include the past three US Triple Crown winners, Secretariat, Seattle Slew, and Affirmed.  Other descendents are European champions Nijinsky (better known in the states as Nijinsky II), Nasrullah, Galileo (sire of Frankel and Cape Blanco) and High Chaparrel.  However, probably the two most important direct progeny are Pharos and Sickle.  Pharos, 2nd in the 1923 Epsom Derby, may not have been the most successful of races, but was one of the most successful of sires.  Sire of Federico Tesio’s Nearco, an undefeated runner and an important sire in his own right, Pharos would begin the Nearco line that would appear in many of the major sires around the world and some of the most accomplished races.  Since 1985, every Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe winner can be traced back to Nearco.  Nearco went on to sire Nasrullah, who sired Bold Ruler, an eight time leading sire in North America, and of course, sire of Secretariat. Another important offspring of Nearco is Northern Dancer, near Triple Crown winner in 1964, who has had more Breeders’ Cup winners come from his bloodline than any other horse.  Northern Dancer is the sire of Nijinsky, Danzig, Storm Bird, and Sadler’s Wells, all who went on to be outstanding sires.  However, most of the important horses from him come from his offspring.  He is on the paternal side of Storm Cat, Deputy Minister, El Prado, Danehill, Big Brown, Makybe Diva, Mine that Bird, Rachel Alexandra, Summer Bird, Sea the Stars, Frankel, and Black Caviar.  Now that is one amazing list of offspring.  From the other offspring of Phalaros, Sickle left his legacy to his great-great grandsire, Raise a Native, an important horse to have when it comes to winning the Kentucky Derby; winners like Affirmed, Street Sense, War Emblem, Smarty Jones, and Funny Cide had him on their sire line.  Of course, one of the most important sons of Raise a Native is Mr. Prospector, one of the most important sires in history, who would be a major reason why the Darley Arabian sire-line has become such a dominant bloodline in recent North American history.
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